Kondratieff Wave

Are stocks overvalued? A quick look at the long term perspective. Take a minute and look at a valuation chart for the stock market: What we have here on the X axis is the bond yield/stock yield ratio for the S&P 400 companies. Sounds fancy, but all it means is that the further you go… Read more Are Stocks Overvalued?

Why Most Equity Mutual Funds Are (Again) Ill-Prepared for a Bear Market Professional money managers herd “right along with other speculators” Is a bear market already underway in the U.S.? Only time will tell for sure. What is known is that the Dow Industrials and S&P 500 index topped in January and the NASDAQ registered… Read more Most Funds Ill Prepared for Bear Market

Peaking stock buybacks is consistent with the early stage of a long bear market. Intraday on April 27, the S&P 500 is trading 12.10% lower than it was at the start of the year. Right — not a huge setback — but negative nonetheless. Of course, it’s always possible that this is just the start… Read more Stock Buybacks Peak at the Top

“Why Is the Stock Market Falling?” — (Not Because of These Reasons) Financial journalists almost always mention “reasons” for a given day’s market action. For example, on April 22, an intraday Marketwatch headline gave two reasons for that day’s plummeting prices: Why is the stock market falling? Dow drops over 500 points as investors weigh… Read more Why Is the Stock Market Falling?

Here’s what really drives the trends of global stock markets Let’s first state the obvious: war is tragic as it brings death and destruction. But does war make the stock market go down? Many observers seem to believe so. Here are some Feb. 22 headlines: U.S. stocks fall sharply as Russia sends troops into breakaway… Read more Is War Negative for Stocks?

“Shooting Stars” of the Stock Market: “Don’t Be Fooled by This” A meme stock has been defined as “the shares of a company that have gained a cult-like following online and through social media platforms.” This “following” is largely comprised of novice investors who hope to make a quick profit. You may remember two well-publicized… Read more Don’t be fooled by this

Cryptos competing with USD and EUR. NFTs competing with Rembrandt and Da Vinci. Electric car makers with $0 revenue but market cap bigger than GM, Ford or Toyota. How do you make sense of today’s financial trends? Answer: Use Elliott waves to clarify the global macro environment, ID new opportunities and protect your existing investments. In this FREE, big-picture video from our friends… Read more Investment Roadmap for 2022

How to Outwit 99% of Investment Pros Was COVID-19 a “bullish event”? No. Here’s the real answer why stocks rose as the pandemic raged. Waves of social mood fluctuate in accordance with the Wave Principle and determine prices in financial markets. Moreover, these same waves regulate the tenor and character of social attitudes and actions.… Read more Was Covid a Bullish Event?

Has Crypto-Mania Finally Run Its Course? Here’s a high-profile parallel between tech- and crypto-mania When a company that’s part of a major financial trend buys the naming rights to a professional sports stadium or arena, watch out! History suggests that such a prominent move might be a sign that the fortunes of that company are… Read more Kiss of Death for Crypto?

New Update on the Public’s Voracious Appetite for Stocks Here’s a month-to-month breakdown of how much money individuals are spending on stocks. It’s been noted before in these pages that … … Investors have put more money into stocks in the last 5 months than the previous 12 years combined That was an April CNBC… Read more Public is all in Stocks

When Even Bears Act Bullishly (What It May Mean) “Some indicators are making records” It’s difficult for most investors to take an independent stand from the crowd. For example, it may be wise to “buy when there’s blood in the streets,” as Baron Rothschild famously said, but for many investors, that’s easier said than done.… Read more Even the Bears are Bulls Now

You may agree that today, “hopeful” describes how most investors feel. Everyone is invested to the last penny! Hopeful that the pandemic will finally go away. Hopeful that Washington will do more good than harm. Hopeful that inflation will fall, and employment will rise. And, hopeful that stocks will keep rising if investors get their… Read more Free WEEK

Stocks: Is This the “Kiss of Death” for the Bull Market? Stock market prices usually decline after this occurs. Many market observers believe that the catalyst for the next bear market will be a piece of extraordinarily bad news. However, Elliott Wave International has shown time and again that the stock market’s price action is… Read more Kiss of Death

January 27, 2022 Update M&As: Beware of This Major Sign of a Stock Market Top Here’s what often precedes “prolonged and devastating bear markets” Inside the three publications that comprise Elliott Wave International’s flagship Financial Forecast Service, Elliott Wave International recently documented the many expressions of “financial optimism.” Things like crypto mania. Or meme stocks.… Read more Record Optimism